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 edge variable


Colored Markov Random Fields for Probabilistic Topological Modeling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) encode conditional dependencies among random variables using a graph -nodes for variables, links for dependencies- and factorize the joint distribution into lower-dimensional components. This makes PGMs well-suited for analyzing complex systems and supporting decision-making. Recent advances in topological signal processing highlight the importance of variables defined on topological spaces in several application domains. In such cases, the underlying topology shapes statistical relationships, limiting the expressiveness of canonical PGMs. To overcome this limitation, we introduce Colored Markov Random Fields (CMRFs), which model both conditional and marginal dependencies among Gaussian edge variables on topological spaces, with a theoretical foundation in Hodge theory. CMRFs extend classical Gaussian Markov Random Fields by including link coloring: connectivity encodes conditional independence, while color encodes marginal independence. We quantify the benefits of CMRFs through a distributed estimation case study over a physical network, comparing it with baselines with different levels of topological prior.


Tractably Modelling Dependence in Networks Beyond Exchangeability

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a general framework for modelling network data that is designed to describe aspects of non-exchangeable networks. Conditional on latent (unobserved) variables, the edges of the network are generated by their finite growth history (with latent orders) while the marginal probabilities of the adjacency matrix are modeled by a generalization of a graph limit function (or a graphon). In particular, we study the estimation, clustering and degree behavior of the network in our setting. We determine (i) the minimax estimator of a composite graphon with respect to squared error loss; (ii) that spectral clustering is able to consistently detect the latent membership when the block-wise constant composite graphon is considered under additional conditions; and (iii) we are able to construct models with heavy-tailed empirical degrees under specific scenarios and parameter choices. This explores why and under which general conditions non-exchangeable network data can be described by a stochastic block model. The new modelling framework is able to capture empirically important characteristics of network data such as sparsity combined with heavy tailed degree distribution, and add understanding as to what generative mechanisms will make them arise. Keywords: statistical network analysis, exchangeable arrays, stochastic block model, nonlinear stochastic processes.